This market is part of my Battleground States group, a series of markets relating to key competitive swing states in the 2024 US Presidential Election. These markets allow users to bet on a state-by-state basis how they foresee the results of election day (November 5th, 2024) playing out. Be sure to check out the entire category to see which races are up for grabs!

Donald Trump's coalition in 2020 consisted of the traditional Republican strongholds in the country's mostly rural interior, the Deep South (minus GA), Texas, and the newly emboldened GOP stronghold of Florida. This unfortunately (or fortunately depending on your political inclinations) did not result in enough Electoral College votes to score him a victory.

The full list of states/districts that voted for Donald Trump in the 2020 Presidential election were:

• Alabama,

• Alaska,

• Arkansas,

• Florida,

• Idaho,

• Indiana,

• Iowa,

• Kansas,

• Kentucky,

• Louisiana,

• Maine-02,

• Mississippi,

• Missouri,

• Montana,

• Nebraska-AL, Nebraska-01, Nebraska-03

• North Carolina,

• North Dakota,

• Ohio,

• Oklahoma,

• South Carolina,

• South Dakota,

• Tennessee,

• Texas,

• Utah,

• West Virginia, and

• Wyoming.

Come 2024, the Republicans will be facing a new challenge in both holding together their existing coalition of states together while also hoping to score some key flips in other states to unseat incumbent Joe Biden.

Will they be able to pull it off? If so, market will resolve as NO. If they lose ANY of the above states/districts to the Democrats, market will resolve as YES.