Will the Manifold Markets Discord have 200 or more members by Tuesday morning?
47
76
resolved Feb 22
Resolved
YES
Resolves YES if when I check the Manifold Markets Discord at 8:30am Eastern Time on Tuesday, February 22nd, the member count shows as 200 or more. Market closes the night prior. Feb 21, 12:02pm: for details on exact method of measurement, see here: https://discord.com/channels/915138780216823849/938171760237477998/945364762001285163 TLDR: I’ll be looking at the member count on the mobile app Feb 22, 8:32am: resolved yes. Evidence: https://discord.com/channels/915138780216823849/943251318473109524/945674142458449960
Get Ṁ200 play money

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bought Ṁ22 of YES
Counteract the profit taking of the previous trader, because why not? Discord appears to be at 202 members right now.
bought Ṁ100 of YES
More to the pot.
bought Ṁ50 of YES
Odds are looking good here.
bought Ṁ10 of YES
Currently at 185 by my count, with another shoutout from ACX this afternoon, I think there's a pretty good chance.
bought Ṁ1 of YES
@Gurkenglas I will not be using my judgment to determine illegitimate accounts. Note however that admins may use their own discretion to ban members such that those members are not included in the count mentioned in the description above.
sold Ṁ197 of NO
@dglid, how do you resolve if there are a bunch of obvious throwaway accounts padding the stats?
bought Ṁ151 of NO
Am wagering, rather.
bought Ṁ200 of NO
It's easier to move to NO than to YES, most of us are already on the Discord, I'd wager.
bought Ṁ100 of YES
Move this market: https://discord.gg/eHQBNBqXuh

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