Will the 2022 bird flu outbreak be worse than the 2015 outbreak (more than 50 million birds killed)?

Context: https://www.npr.org/2022/04/06/1091061758/bird-flu-outbreak "A highly pathogenic bird flu virus is tearing its way through U.S. farms and chicken yards, spreading to at least 24 states less than two months after the first outbreak was reported in a commercial flock. Nearly 23 million birds have died. It's the worst U.S. outbreak of the avian flu since 2015, when more than 50 million birds died. The outbreak is driving up consumer prices for eggs and chicken meat that, like many costs, had already been rising due to inflation." As of April 16th, the number has risen to 28.6 million commercial and backyard birds according to the USDA: https://www.aphis.usda.gov/aphis/ourfocus/animalhealth/animal-disease-information/avian/avian-influenza/hpai-2022/2022-hpai-commercial-backyard-flocks Will this year's outbreak of Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza surpass 50 million bird deaths? This market will resolve YES if the total sum of the Flock Size column on the table on the above USDA site is greater than 50 million in 2022. (This table is easily accessible by downloading the underlying data here: https://www.aphis.usda.gov/animal_health/data-csv/hpai-commercial-backyard-flocks.csv) Credit to the EA Forum where I first learned about this outbreak: "Farmed animal welfare Avian influenza is causing farmers to kill millions of chickens" https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/JJaxHBt3dfQy9D4yw/avian-influenza-is-causing-farmers-to-kill-millions-of Jun 9, 9:17pm: website has been updated so underlying data csv no longer a reliable link. As of now, I'll plan on resolving this based on the current website design, which features a prominent "Birds Affected" count in the top right. If that goes >50.0M, this market will resolve yes. As of today's date, the count is 39.87M.

#	Name	Total profit
1		Ṁ77
2		Ṁ11
3		Ṁ9
4		Ṁ0
5		Ṁ0

Name

Total profit

Ṁ77

Ṁ11

Ṁ9

Ṁ0

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