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If I set up a Twitter account that posts a Magic: The Gathering rules question every day, will it have at least 750 followers a month later?43%
If Scott Alexander asks ACXers in 2030 to estimate what percent of people they follow on Twitter are secretly chatbots, will the median answer will be 5% or less?70%
In the ACX 2023 prediction contest, will anyone who filled out all questions get into the top 5% of entrants?84%
If I set up a Twitter account that posts a Magic: The Gathering rules question every day, will it have at least 400 followers a month later?54%
Will a Facebook and Instagram have more than 250,000 paid verifications 3 months after launching?82%
If I set up a Twitter account that posts a Magic: The Gathering rules question every day, will it have at least 200 followers a month later?72%
Related markets
If I set up a Twitter account that posts a Magic: The Gathering rules question every day, will it have at least 750 followers a month later?43%
If Scott Alexander asks ACXers in 2030 to estimate what percent of people they follow on Twitter are secretly chatbots, will the median answer will be 5% or less?70%
In the ACX 2023 prediction contest, will anyone who filled out all questions get into the top 5% of entrants?84%
If I set up a Twitter account that posts a Magic: The Gathering rules question every day, will it have at least 400 followers a month later?54%
Will a Facebook and Instagram have more than 250,000 paid verifications 3 months after launching?82%
If I set up a Twitter account that posts a Magic: The Gathering rules question every day, will it have at least 200 followers a month later?72%