Which horses will place in the top 3?

Seven simulated horses will compete in a 1 mile race. The table below shows how much distance in feet each horse traverses per second on average.

Name Average feet per second

Malarkey 43.1

Cowabunga 42.8

Left Lane Cruiser 41.5

Mane Street 43.3

Catawampus 42.5

Tito 43.8

Winston Smith 42.4

The distance each horse traverses varies across time due to factors such as wind, soil condition, and physiology. The standard deviation is 5 feet per second for each horse. The positions (in feet) of each horse will be updated at 10 seconds, 20 seconds, and 30 seconds. The updates will be posted daily. The market will resolve one day after the last update. I will not participate in this market.


Distance at 10 seconds

Name Distance

Mane Street 441.236

Winston Smith 440.531

Malarkey 429.6

Catawampus 426.776

Left Lane Cruiser 426.31

Tito 421.869

Cowabunga 421.053