Was urn 1 selected?
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100Ṁ43Jan 6
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There are special two urns containing bobbleheads of the three stooges instead of colored marbles. The table below provides a tally of each type of bobblehead for each urn.

One of the two urns is selected with equal probability. Your mission, if you accept the challenge, is to figure out which urn was selected. Starting tomorrow, I will select a bobblehead from the urn randomly and without replacement and post the result below. I will continue to select one bobblehead each day until four have been selected. The market will resolve one day after the fourth bobblehead is selected.
The selection process will be carried out using a computer program that I wrote. For this reason, I will not participate in this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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