Will I record an album with my black metal band in 2024?
Will I record an album with my black metal band in 2024?
3
70Ṁ18resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
To resolve YES, each of the following instruments on the album must be played by a distinct person: drums, bass, guitar, keys.
If the album will be ready for release in 2024, but the actual release will happen in 2025, due to a delay of publication process on music services, I'll still resolve YES. I'll make the album available in 2024 before "official release" in that case.
I will bet only YES on this market.
This question is a follow-up for
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ6 |
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
Will I record an album with my black metal band in 2025?
44% chance
Which of these bands will release a new studio album in 2025?
Which musicians will release studio albums in 2025?
Will the band Tool release a new album before the end of 2025?
37% chance
Will an album using synthetic audio be my favorite album of 2025?
32% chance
Will System of a Down release a new album in 2025?
39% chance
Will nightwish release a new album before the end of 2025?
98% chance
Will Spotify create a record label and release AI-generated songs by 2026?
27% chance
Will Blackpink release another album before the end of 2024?
5% chance
Will there be a posthumously released MF Doom album of his unfinished/unreleased tracks before Jan 1st 2029?
71% chance