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MANIFOLD
How many EVs will Democrats be leading in on electionbettingodds.com at the start of the Democratic National Convention?
7
Ṁ1kṀ14k
resolved Aug 19
100%91%
251-270
0.6%
226 or less
0.6%
227-250
6%
271-290
1.6%
>290

On August 19 2024 at a preselected random time, I will check electionbettingodds.com which has this map

that shows the leading candidate per state according to Polymarket bettors. This market willl resolve to the number in blue.

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@traders i have had chatgpt generate a random resolution time for me today. electionbettingodds is oscillating between 281 and 270 EVs as Arizona flips back and forth so I sold all my shares to avoid any (appearance of) bias