Will Apple stock (AAPL) make a new all-time high (>$182.94) before the end of WWDC23?
16
335
270
resolved Jun 5
Resolved
YES

Resolves YES if AAPL intraday high > $182.94 during any regular Nasdaq trading session (09:30-16:00 ET) since market creation (2023-05-18) up to the end of WWDC on Friday, June 9, otherwise resolves NO. Reference is publicly-quoted intraday high price.

Recent high: 2023-06-02 $181.78

Last price: 2023-06-02 $180.95

(will try to update as it gets close to resolution)

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sold Ṁ0 of YES

ok seems none wanted to squeeze that last mana, I’ll take it and resolve YES

predicted YES
bought Ṁ593 of YES

did it!

bought Ṁ100 of YES

@deagol Wait a second. As the market maker why are you allowed to buy this to 100% before closing it as resolved. Suspect! 😂

predicted YES

@DJStarr I haven’t closed! feel free to punish me by buying NO ;)

predicted YES

@deagol That’s what I’m saying. Intraday high hit so it should resolve, right?

sold Ṁ500 of YES

@DJStarr correct!

predicted YES

@DJStarr just allowing for the free mana people a chance to squeeze the last drop

Hmm, where are you refferencing the ATH from? WeBull gives me an all time high of 181.36$ on 04.01.22

predicted YES

@ScipioFabius Can’t find where WeBull.com shows that, but perhaps that price is adjusted for dividends. The reference for this market is the actual highest price it traded at, unadjusted for dividends. Would get adjusted for splits, if any (there won’t be any in next 3 weeks). I got it from the link provided in the description:

This matches Nasdaq data:

bought Ṁ40 of NO

As a shareholder I’d love for this to happen. However hasn’t history shown that Apple events usually drives the share price down?

bought Ṁ0 of NO

@esusatyo sure but what about before the event? also, the hype for this event seems special

predicted YES

@esusatyo and it’s only 4% higher

predicted NO

@deagol Fair enough, if I lose this market at least my portfolio will be happy.

predicted YES

@esusatyo Which apple events? The majority in which apple does not reveal anything unexpectedly hype? And don't we know this one's not one of those?
There's usually a grow prior to the event, isn't there? And my understanding would be that a lot of that is institutional investors buying in anticipation of a big reveal that might happen, then they sell as soon as it doesn't.