Will any Manifold user be imprisoned in CECOT or a similar prison after deportation from the US during Trump's 2nd term?
15
1kṀ5987
2029
10%
chance

To resolve YES, there must be credible reports that:

1) the proposed individual traded on Manifold at least once;

2) the proposed individual has been deported from the US;

3) the proposed individual is in CECOT or a prison with a similarly poor human rights record outside of the US.

US Politics
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Trump
Trump's Second Term
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there will continue to be lots of markets that use "any manifold user" as a funny stand-in for "Luigi Mangione"

but then there's always the opportunity for it to happen to someone else which would be even funnier

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