Will Iran launch air strikes anywhere inside Iran by the end of 2024?
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18
Ṁ5402
Jan 1
16%
chance

Artillery doesn’t count. Only large payloads delivered by rocket or dropped from an airplane.

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bought Ṁ100 YES

Doesn’t make much sense for this to be lower than the market about Tehran only…

bought Ṁ500 NO

@datachef That's about Israel launching airstrikes. This one's title says Iran launching airstrikes.

Make a new market for the question you intended; don't change this one.

bought Ṁ50 YES

@BenjaminCosman man I was half asleep when I made that haha.

@datachef I placed my bets based on the very clear wording. You have completely changed the meaning of the market with the new wording. Change it back or get a moderator to N/A it; it is not fair to take my mana because you made a mistake.

I will add that you doubled down on the mistake - I made my initial investment, then you responded to the clarification below with "definitely inside", indicating that you'd read the request for clarification and were standing by the wording, so then I made a second investment.

@BenjaminCosman chill bro. Nobody is taking anything from you. I will leave this as Iran but I definitely originally intended Israel as I made the is market minutes after another related market about air strikes in Tehran.

@BenjaminCosman he asked for clarification on inside vs outside, not Israel vs Iran. So my response was accurate and I am unclear what you are complaining about??

anywhere inside of Iran, or anywhere outside of Iran?

bought Ṁ250 NO

Well at this point the market very clearly says "inside Iran"; dunno if that's what was intended but it's definitely too late to change it.

@BenjaminCosman always be careful betting on markets with “erroneous” titles. i’ve had market creators change it and bet the other way

@mattyb definitely inside. If it was outside it would have resolved 500 times by now.