Will inflation in the US stay above 6.0% in January 2023?
Will inflation in the US stay above 6.0% in January 2023?
45
910Ṁ6726resolved Feb 14
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
YES if CPI-U is >298.016 at next publication.
https://data.bls.gov/timeseries/CUUR0000SA0
Related markets:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ391 | |
2 | Ṁ297 | |
3 | Ṁ197 | |
4 | Ṁ89 | |
5 | Ṁ34 |
Sort by:
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
People are also trading
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
Will the inflation rate in the US reach 6% before it reaches 0%?
75% chance
Will the United States' inflation rate be above 3% in 2023, 2024, and 2025?
32% chance
Will the inflation rate in the US reach 6% between the 2024 and 2028 presidential elections?
28% chance
Will US inflation be over 4% for the next 5 years?
3% chance
Will US inflation be >= 2% (annualized) over the next 5 years?
88% chance