This market resolves YES if Danielle Smith ceases to be the leader of the United Conservative Party (UCP) in Alberta before June 1, 2025, for any reason (resignation, removal, etc.). It resolves NO if she remains the UCP leader on June 1, 2025.

Recent context: Smith received 91.5% support in her leadership review, indicating strong party backing.

Resolution criteria: Official announcement from the UCP or reporting from major Canadian news outlets.

References:

• CBC: Alberta Premier Danielle Smith passes leadership review with 91.5% support

• Wikipedia: Danielle Smith