Will Hunter Biden be indicted before Nov 5, 2024?
71
1.1kṀ35k
resolved Sep 15
Resolved
YES
Vox: What we know about the Hunter Biden Investigation https://www.vox.com/23012186/hunter-biden-investigation-tax-fara "The New York Times, Wall Street Journal, ABC News, CBS News, CNN, and the Associated Press have all published stories in recent weeks with a similar theme: the investigation, run by the US attorney’s office in Delaware, has gotten increasingly active, with witnesses testifying to a grand jury. The investigation focuses on Hunter Biden’s well-compensated work for foreign interests over the past decade or so, particularly for businesses or tycoons in Ukraine, China, and Kazakhstan. The main legal questions appear to be whether Hunter violated tax laws, committed money laundering, or acted as an unregistered foreign lobbyist." A similar question already exists for 2022 (https://manifold.markets/dadonk/will-hunter-biden-be-indicted-in-20-90e270df1fb8). The purpose of this question is to expand the time range, and see if an indictment will happen before the next presidential election. This is identical to the question on Metaculus, which is currently the only one posted there about a Hunter Biden indictment. A major purpose here is also to differentiate/calibrate the probability between the two platforms. https://www.metaculus.com/questions/10541/hunter-biden-be-indicted-before-nov-5-2024/ The market will resolve positive if a publicly available court filing or indictment document detailing an indictment of Hunter Biden exists before November 5th, 2024. The market will otherwise resolve negative on the aforementioned date.
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