Will Tiger Zhang beat Andrew Lin on the 18.905 final?

Question

Tiger Zhang and Andrew Lin are MIT students currently taking 18.905 (Algebraic Topology I). The market resolves YES if Tiger's grade on the final (on May 15) is higher than Andrew's, NO if it's lower, and 50% if they're equal. The market resolves once grades are released.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 40% chance (3 traders, as of Mar 22, 2026).

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