Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if the album Iceman by Drake is not released on digital streaming platforms (such as Spotify, Apple Music, or similar) on May 15, 2026.

It resolves to NO if the album is released on or before May 15, 2026.

If the album is released on May 15, 2026, the market resolves to NO, regardless of the time of day. If the release is delayed to any date after May 15, 2026, it resolves to YES. The official social media accounts of Drake, OVO Sound, or major music news outlets (e.g., Billboard, Pitchfork) will serve as the primary sources for verifying the release date.

Background

On April 21, 2026, Drake confirmed that his upcoming solo studio album, Iceman, is scheduled for release on May 15, 2026. The date was revealed through a promotional stunt in Toronto where fans retrieved a folder containing the release information from a large ice structure. Iceman will mark Drake's first full-length solo project since For All the Dogs (2023). While the date has been officially communicated, music release schedules are subject to change.