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how is this at 13% while "will Hakeem Jeffries receive the most speaker votes on the first ballot" is at 74%? whichever way it goes some folks could load up and make some money.

@PeteLastname All democrats will vote for Jeffries. All but some Republicans will vote for the Republican nominee. The rest of the Republicans will vote for their favorite for speaker (McCarthy or someone else). But it’s really unlikely that any of the Republicans actually vote for Jeffries.