Will big floods engulf London and Europe in 2024?
Basic
8
Ṁ154
Jan 1
24%
chance

Tracking predictions from the podcast Oh No, Ross and Carrie! episode 399. Transcript available at https://maximumfun.org/transcripts/oh-no-ross-and-carrie/transcript-oh-no-ross-and-carrie-ep-399-ross-carrie-and-psychics-predict-2024-cancer-cures-and-election-edition/

Carrie Poppy: [...] Then Craig added that he sees big floods that will engulf London and Europe. It just occurred to me that—

Ross Blocher: London falls within—

Carrie Poppy: Oh, I guess it’s not in Europe!

Ross Blocher: Not on the continent, yeah.

Carrie Poppy: Yeah, yeah, yeah. I guess it’s not in the EU, so okay. “With Germany being particularly affected.”

I will resolve according to their evaluation in 2025 ("No" for a zero on their scale, "N/A" for one, and "Yes" for two)

With the podcast ending, I can no longer simply defer to the host's judgements for the resolution. Please vote in this poll if you have thoughts on how I should resolve these markets:

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@traders my resolution criteria for this market failed to account for the possibility that we wouldn't get ratings from Ross and Carrie, but with the podcast having ended that now seems pretty likely. Please vote in this poll to let me know if you'd prefer me to use my judgement instead, or just resolve this market N/A.

Either way, I will not trade in this market.

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