Will the SI second be redefined to an optical frequency standard before 2035?
6
110Ṁ882034
83%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If there is evidence of a new international agreement on the definition of the SI second on both the BIPM and NIST websites, then the market resolves immediately.
Any redefinition in which there is a primary optical frequency standard and secondary cesium microwave standard or in which the standard is a weighted average of optical and microwave frequencies will resolve Yes.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
Will the SI second be redefined to an optical frequency standard by 01/01/2030?
5% chance
Will we get ASI before 2030?
52% chance
Which frequency standard will the SI second be defined from, per BIPM, on 01/01/2034?
Will there be a negative leap second by end of 2035?
51% chance
Will there be another positive leap second by end of 2035?
38% chance
What will the 2026 General Conference on Weights and Measures decide about the definition of the second?
Will we get ASI before 2032?
60% chance
Will we get ASI before 2035?
75% chance
Will the United States be using the metric system by the end of 2035?
5% chance
Will we get ASI before 2033?
69% chance