Manifold just sent out a bulk email to all Manifold users, advertising manifold.love.

I received the email at 19:53, Nov 7th, Pacific time. At this time, there were 523 profiles on manifold.love

Will there be more than 500 signups in the subsequent 24 hours?

Resolves YES if after market close there are more than 500 users in manifold.love's lovers database table with account creation times between (non-inclusive) 19:53:00, Nov 7th and 19:34:00 Nov 8th, Pacific time.

The lovers table only includes users that signed up to create a profile on manifold.love specifically, it does not include users who logged into manifold.love with their existing Manifold account but did not click "make a profile". Thus this number does not include users who are "match-makers" only.

(there is in fact no concept of "signup" if you are a match-maker, since this just uses existing Manifold accounts, with which every Manifold user can login to manifold.love already)