Will a national majority of voters vote YES in the upcoming Voice referendum in Australia?
25
163
450
resolved Oct 14
Resolved
NO

This market resolves YES if, in the upcoming referendum on an indigenous Voice to parliament, a national majority of voters vote YES, according to official sources such as the Australian Electoral Commission.

A national majority is one of the requirements for a referendum to pass—the other being that the majority of voters in the majority of states must vote YES.

If the rererendum is postponed to a specific date in the future this market's close date will be extended. If the referendum is called off or postponed but with no date set as of the end of 2023, this market resolves N/A.

Get Ṁ200 play money

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ231
2Ṁ88
3Ṁ46
4Ṁ18
5Ṁ13
Sort by:
bought Ṁ10,000 of NO

Resolving promptly despite it not yet being a mathematical certainty, as the result has been called by major news outlets and it is not close. I'll request re-resolution in the very unlikely case that this turns out to have been a misresolution.

bought Ṁ10 of YES

Buying yes because I think it's more likely than 5%, in the 5-10% range.