When will Claude Opus 4.5 complete Pokemon Mansion?
2
1kṀ340
2026
28%
130,000 steps or fewer
33%
140,000 steps or fewer
35%
160,000 steps or fewer
37%
200,000 steps or fewer
41%
280,000 steps or fewer
50%
Not before run is reset

Answers resolve based on whether the current run of Claude Plays Pokemon (Claude Opus 4.5) completes Pokemon Mansion within the specified timeframe. Completing Pokemon Mansion means obtaining the Secret Key to Cinnabar gym.

A reset of the run for any reason causes "Not before run is reset" to resolve YES and all other answers to resolve NO.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy