What films will be nominated for best picture for the 2024 Oscars? (Nominated films will resolve to 10%)
80
5kαΉ18kresolved Oct 12
ResolvedN/A
18%
Killers of the Flower Moon
18%
Oppenheimer
9%
Barbie
8%
Napoleon
7%
Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse
7%
Past Lives
5%
Asteroid City
4%
Poor Things
3%
Maestro
3%
The Color Purple
3%
Anatomy of a Fall
2%
The Killer
1.8%
Ferrari
1.5%
The Zone of Interest
1.2%
The Holdovers
I've attempted to include approximately the top 35 most likely movies, judging from different folks' lists.
Will resolve equally to all films that are nominated for best picture. In other words, if all 10 films nominated for best picture are in this list, I will resolve each option to 10%.
I've been told that free-response will be added to multiple choice markets at some point, at which point I will allow new movies to be added.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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