Barbie vs Oppenheimer (Box Office Opening Weekend)
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Will Barbie or Oppenheimer gross more domestically on their opening weekend?
Yes = Barbie
No = Oppenheimer
Will use data from boxofficemojo.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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I think so. Barbie is showing on more screens, has a much wider demographic, and is over an hour shorter. Barbie demographic is probably more likely to buy tickets as well.
The runtime issue alone tends to be highly predictive of opening weekend sales and is why studios, distributors, and theaters (literally everyone except the director, lol) dislike movies longer than two hours.
@chrisjbillington Barbie took in something like 22 million opening night, Oppenheimer only did 10.5. That gap will trend for both so it's pretty clear-cut.