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MANIFOLD
Barbie vs Oppenheimer (Box Office Opening Weekend)
57
Ṁ1.1kṀ64k
resolved Jul 24
Resolved
YES

Will Barbie or Oppenheimer gross more domestically on their opening weekend?

Yes = Barbie

No = Oppenheimer

Will use data from boxofficemojo.

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Resolves yes

Wow is it really this clear-cut?

I think so. Barbie is showing on more screens, has a much wider demographic, and is over an hour shorter. Barbie demographic is probably more likely to buy tickets as well.

The runtime issue alone tends to be highly predictive of opening weekend sales and is why studios, distributors, and theaters (literally everyone except the director, lol) dislike movies longer than two hours.

@chrisjbillington Barbie took in something like 22 million opening night, Oppenheimer only did 10.5. That gap will trend for both so it's pretty clear-cut.

Relevant

I was just a few seconds too slow to get better value

predictedYES

@asmith You can get a much better price on NO now if you'd like it!