Will I get a driver's license before Christmas?
22
344
340
resolved Dec 25
Resolved
NO
This market resolves to YES if I have a driver's license before 12/25/22. (It's fine if it's the temporary paper one because the official card is still in the mail.) Data: I'm 26, I've never been behind the wheel before, I passed the knowledge test and got my learner's permit last week. No one else in my household drives. I put off learning for a long time because of narcolepsy-related concerns, and then after I got the all-clear from my neurologist, there was this whole pandemic and the DMV offices were closed.
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predicted YES

Any update on this, @charlie ?