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MANIFOLD
Which random bit string is generated by Google Bard?
43
Ṁ770Ṁ2.7k
resolved Nov 12
Resolved
YES

I asked Google Bard, "I need you to do the following for me: Generate a random binary string 100 bits long." I then generated my own 100 bit random string with the python random module. The beginning of both strings is below. I put them in a randomized order, based on random.choice("ai","python") to decide which one is first.

This market resolves YES if string A is the AI generated one, and NO if string B is the AI generated one.

I will reveal five bits per day, at semi-random times (aka when I remember to do so).

If the market ever dips below 5% or above 95% for at least 24 hours, I will resolve it. I will also resolve it 48 hrs after I have released all 100 digits.

Here are the first 85 bits:

String A: 1001101011011010000011001010001100000000101111011111111111010001000000110111001001101011011011111110

String B: 0010101011110010100001111100110110010111001100100111100110011000011000000101011010000010111000000111

Inspired by https://manifold.markets/JosephNoonan/which-random-bit-string-is-gptgener

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@PatrikCihal @rb This was the response to my prompt

@cc6 Well yeah that's the same response I got, you need to ask follow up question for it to tell you it used python code.

All 100 bits are now in! Market closes in two days.

predictedNO

🤔

Just a few days left!

predictedNO

@cc6 truly exciting

I guess Google Bard does a pretty good job at randomizing strings (perhaps they have a built in randomizer), since the market has been steadily hovering at around 50%

50 bits! (sorry for falling behind)

We are now at 20 bits