Will Kosovo become a United Nations member state by 2030?
Will Kosovo become a United Nations member state by 2030?
6
110Ṁ1542030
23%
chance
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Kosovo is recognized as independent by 102 out of 193 member states in the United Nations (UN). Kosovar independence is not recognized by Serbia, which considers Kosovo an autonomous province, nor is Kosovo recognized as independent by China or Russia.
To join the UN, a candidate country must be recommended for admission by the UN Security Council with nine votes out of sixteen (and no use of veto power by China, Russia, the United States, the United Kingdom, or France), and approved by a two-thirds supermajority in the UN General Assembly.
Will Kosovo become a UN member state by 2030?
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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