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This question resolves YES if Kamala Harris is declared the winner of the 2024 United States presidential election, and does not win the national popular vote (e.g. plurality or majority, whichever is higher). Otherwise resolves NO, i.e. if Trump wins, or if Harris wins with popular vote as well.

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@cash What does "win the national popular vote" mean? Does it require a majority of votes cast, or is a plurality sufficient?

Plurality. So winners of the popular vote, for the purposes of this question, since 2000:

  • Gore (2000)

  • Bush (2004)

  • Obama (2008)

  • Obama (2012)

  • Clinton (2016)

  • Biden (2020)