Will Chuck Schumer stop being Senate Democratic Leader by the next presidential inauguration (20 Jan 2025)?
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Chuck Schumer is 72 years old as of the time of writing this question. Schumer was elected Leader of the Senate Democrats in 2016, succeeding Harry Reid. He has served as Senate Democratic Leader both in the minority and the majority.
Will Schumer stop being Senate Democratic Leader before another presidential term?
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
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