What will be #1 most viewed Wikipedia article of 2025?
102
1.7kṀ44k
resolved Dec 3
100%99.6%
Charlie Kirk
0.1%
Deaths in 2025
0.0%
Donald Trump
0.0%
Wikipedia
0.0%
Elon Musk
0.0%
Indian Premier League
0.0%
Taylor Swift
0.0%
JD Vance
0.0%
Project 2025
0.0%
ChatGPT
0.0%
Existential risk from artificial intelligence
0.0%
Taiwan
0.0%
Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning
0.0%
Avatar: Fire and Ash
0.0%
1989 Tiananmen Square protests and massacre
0.0%
.xxx
0.0%Other

The Wikimedia Foundation celebrates the end of the year with a list of the English-language Wikipedia articles that received the most pageviews.

This question resolves YES to the English-language article that the Wikimedia Foundation affirms as #1 most viewed of 2025. Please note that this determination may be made prior to the end of the year (e.g. Dec 5, Dec 15).

For easy reference, here are links to the previous years' lists: 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021, 2020, 2019, 2018, 2017, 2016, 2015.

As another resource, pageviews.wmcloud.org provides rankings by annual pageviews, though note that their numbers are slightly different.

See also:

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ6,348
2Ṁ2,444
3Ṁ967
4Ṁ325
5Ṁ301
Sort by:

pop a perc for charlie kirk

Not blaming the market for this, but why does Wikipedia have to reveal this stuff early. The year isn't over yet, and deaths in 2025 would spike near the end. Market resolved well though.

@FecalAbhuman I kind of think they called it early specifically because they wanted Charlie Kirk to win, as that makes a more interesting headline for them than, “Welp, Deaths again!”. Deaths in 2025 is already ahead of Charlie Kirk, and it seems like this is on the early side for them to announce

shit

Wikimedia Foundation has announced their top 10 most read articles:

Resolving YES to Charlie Kirk.

@cash what was special about ed gein in 2025?

ah netflix show

ah fuck

@spiderduckpig

Pageviews is explicitly mentioned as only a guiding source, not as the resolution criteria. The resolution criteria is the ranking that Wikimedia publishes as a list.

"As another resource, pageviews.wmcloud.org provides rankings by annual pageviews, though note that their numbers are slightly different."

The resolution criteria specifically refers to Wikimedia's official list, which, as explicitly mentioned in the description, is determined before the end of the year, in early December. This is also confirmed by the market's closing date being January 1, so the market resolves based on a list published in December. The link above is the next in the series of links in the description.

"This question resolves YES to the English-language article that the Wikimedia Foundation affirms as #1 most viewed of 2025. Please note that this determination may be made prior to the end of the year (e.g. Dec 5, Dec 15).

For easy reference, here are links to the previous years' lists: 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021, 2020, 2019, 2018, 2017, 2016, 2015."

@creator May I suggest, if you make a future version of this market, you call it something like “What will Wikimedia announce as the #1 most viewed Wikipedia article of 2026?”

I made the classic blunder of trading too heavily on the market name instead of resolution criteria, which is my bad, but I think keeping the description and question as aligned as possible is best for all parties

@JimHays I second that.

@JimHays Thanks for the suggestion. I like your wording, which is concise and adds the relevant context of the Wikimedia resolution mechanism. I'll think a bit on this.

I Use Wikipedia a bit, I’ve never read the deaths in (year) article 🤷‍♂️

opened a Ṁ500 YES at 52% order

Wow

As of 9/30, Charlie Kirk is leading for the year, with 41,681,338 views - which also puts it ahead of the 2nd-most viewed article of 2024 (2024 United States Presidential Election), but below the most-viewed article last year (Deaths in 2024).

However, Kirk has quickly lost steam (just like 2024 Presidential Election did last year), and has now dipped back below Deaths in 2025 in terms of daily pageviews. With that said, Deaths in 2025 is below where Deaths in 2024 was this time last year in terms of daily pageviews - there's a chance it can't catch back up to Kirk.

@Marnix very close by my calculations too, too scared to commit early lmao despite buying and selling already. think it'll even come down to when they release the figures since there's almost a 2 week difference between 2022 and 2024. i was pretty sure kirk would slow down, but his page was actually getting ~10k/day before the assassination so it really depends on how quickly his page's daily views fall

sold Ṁ16 YES

@hanoi9 That plus how quickly Deaths in 2025 rises around the end of the year

bought Ṁ1 NO

@Marnix :/ feels like everything is changing in like a single year, that this would be the topmost article

@AlanTennant To be fair, things beat Deaths in <year> pretty frequently - ChatGPT in 2023, Jeffrey Dahmer in 2022, Trump and Covid in 2020. I think the most important reason those views ballooned so much in that first week was the fact that his death was both inescapable (the footage was EVERYWHERE) and initially uncertain (so anyone who knew who he was had a few refreshes, just to see if his death was announced yet) - plus, the widespread cancellation wave culminating in Kimmel getting pulled (meaning people who didn't know him were looking at the guy to see what the hell this guy's deal was). A similar thing happened with Kobe Bryant - the helicopter crash was reported first, then there was a big gap where no one knew if he was alive, and then the reports of his death. His death didn't have a secondary fallout bump, though, so he didn't have enough to pull ahead of ChatGPT.

filled a Ṁ400 YES at 75% order

@Marnix Deaths in 2025 has now passed Kirk, and Deaths in 2025 got nearly 4x the views of Kirk in November. Barring some kind of wild extenuating circumstance (and I don't think this is possible in a way that wouldn't also boost Deaths in 2025), I think Kirk coming second is extremely likely now

opened a Ṁ750 YES at 47% order

@Marnix it looks like he's still leading? i added some limit orders

@spiderduckpig Make sure you change the dates to today! The linked page in that first post is a snapshot of where it was on 9/30 (i made this same mistake)

Just as a hint, if you check out which was the most viewd article 2016

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy