I finally made a dating doc today.
It's here: https://docs.google.com/document/d/1dIqZm80FXnhPscSQ0iTmLiY6UwTrfrV82HUBmlRC9Pw/edit
This market will resolve positively if:
1. I embark on an unambiguous date before midnight on New Year's 2023/2024 (i.e. a New Years' Eve date would count as long as it begins before midnight), such that:
2. I'm confident that the date would not have happened without the dating doc. e.g. the date is with someone I met because they reached out having seen the doc, or with someone I already knew, but who reports that they wouldn't have wanted to go on a date before seeing the doc.
Dates that counterfactually depend on other things that transitively depend on the doc will also cause the market to resolve positively. e.g. if I go on a date because someone is trying to manipulate this market, that also counts.
A couple of possibly relevant facts:
I've been on 1 date with a new person in the last two months, and about 3 in the last year.
I'm a very occasional user of dating apps, and I have never made a dating doc before.
I made this doc because someone responded to my anonymous feedback form basically asking for me to make a dating doc, to help them decide whether they were interested in me.
Within a couple of hours of making the doc, I received anonymous feedback that I'd look better with a different haircut.
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