Will at least 1 person die of open North Korea-South Korea military conflict in 2022?
9%
chance
Jan 2, 2023
M$206 bet
This market resolves "yes" if at least one person dies of military conflict between the Koreas in 2022, according to media reports. This market resolves "no" if there is no such media report by Jan 1, 2023. Note the related but less precise market for "major flare-up in conflict" in 2022: https://manifold.markets/OliverS/will-there-be-a-major-flareup-worse-6fac2d0f67bc Addendum May 14, 9:54pm: In case it wasn't clear, covert military conflict does not count. I.E. an alleged spy being killed in North Korea will not resolve positive.