Will labor’s share of income decline in 2025?
12
1kṀ619Dec 30
64%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if and only if labor’s share of income in the United States’ non-farm business sector as measured by FRED here declines between Q1 2025 and Q4 2025.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the May 2025 US Unemployment rate surpass the projected 4.2% (as reported on June 6, 2025 08:30 EST)?
84% chance
What will the unemployment rate be in June 2025?
Will Unemployment in the US Reach 5.5% in 2025?
44% chance
Will Unemployment in the US Reach 6.5% in 2025?
38% chance
Will the a substantial portion (>25%) of civilians still participate in the US labor market in Jan. 2030?
93% chance
Will unemployment increase to greater than 25% at any point between now and 2031?
23% chance
American life expectancy decreases in 2025?
28% chance
Will the US be at full employment in December 2025?
19% chance
Will the US Civilian labor force participation rate in January 2026 be above that in January 2022?
24% chance
Will I accept an offer to work as a W2 employee in 2025?
34% chance