Resolves yes if Trump is assassinated before January 20, 2029 AND in the week following (starting at the time of the fatal attack, even if death occurs at a later time) SPX increases by at least 3% (measured by exact price to exact price, or most recent close if the attack occurs outside trading hours) according to Yahoo Finance.

Resolves no if Trump is assassinated and SPX does not increase by >3%.

Resolves NA if Trump is not assassinated before January 20, 2029.