GPT-5 released by July 31st?
217
2.5kṀ190k
resolved Aug 1
Resolved
NO

Resolves YES iff OpenAI’s GPT-5 is available to the public on or before July 31st 2025, 11:59pm ET.

Must be publicly accessible - open betas would count, not closed betas. Must be called GPT-5 or some clear variation (eg “5o”).

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ1,123
2Ṁ708
3Ṁ698
4Ṁ346
5Ṁ341
Sort by:

is there insider trading going on here or are you guys trading on vibes

bought Ṁ50 YES

Would something like this count as a closed beta or an open beta?

bought Ṁ100 YES

@jessald unfortunately no proof this is gpt-5, just vibes.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy