MANIFOLD
Erin Patterson found guilty of mushroom murders?
36
Ṁ1kṀ22k
resolved Jul 7
Resolved
YES

Resolves YES iff Erin Patterson is found guilty of at least one count of murder or attempted murder for the alleged killing of her former parents-in-law Don and Gail Patterson, Gail’s sister Heather, and attempted murder of Heather’s husband Ian using death-cap mushrooms in a meal served by Erin to the victims in 2023.

The trial is underway is expected to last another three weeks (until early June). More detail here.

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Another murder happened immediately after the sentencing. This picture

She's very very likely guilty in my mind, but I'm not sure the jury will find her guilty. There's no evidence definitively showing that she knowingly harvested death cap mushrooms and added them to the meal.

The case for her guilt rests on a series of increasingly improbable coincidences (she lied about the reason for the meal invitation, visited places with known death cap sightings, was mysteriously fine while everyone else was severely ill, etc). Each of the individual pieces of evidence has an innocent explanation, so there might be some room for a jury to interpret this as not guilty beyond reasonable doubt.

I'm happy to share requested advice on this case with any inexperienced traders since I'm basically an expert on this trial. (I read most of the Wikipedia.)

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