Will there be a YES/NO market with more than 1k traders without "will" in its name before 2024?
13
427
270
resolved Dec 30
Resolved
NO

Every single binary market with more than 1k traders as of October 21st, 2023, has the word "will" in the name of it.

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  • (M25000 subsidy!) Will a prompt that enables GPT-4 to solve easy Sudoku puzzles be found? (2023)

and on and on...

The highest-ranking market without "will" in its name is Isaac's "Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory?" market with 667 traders.

Resolves YES if a binary YES/NO market gains 1k traders without having "Will" in its name before 2024, in 2023. Changing the name of a market to achieve this goal doesn't count. I will let it slide if the name change wasn't made to manipulate this market and was made relatively early.

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resolving a few hours early

bought Ṁ100 of YES

"Why was Sam Altman fired?", 1487 traders

@hidden The headline explicitly said "yes/no market"

sold Ṁ172 of YES

@bohaska Oh, I was wrong

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