They're planning to have a January offsite trip.
The three suggestions proposed so far are Japan, Istanbul, and Lake Tahoe.
Where would they go?
Any type of answer is fine (this is an unlinked market), but please make it at least as specific as a country, or a group of small countries.
Notion post: https://manifoldmarkets.notion.site/january-offsite-ed3bdcc8c7d64444ae8ba5ddacbc88cd
I will define a January offsite trip as a trip which happens between December 2023 and February 2024, to allow for slight schedule changes to happen without affecting the outcome of this market.
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| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
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Does it count that a few of them are/were in Japan at the same time recently? (Based on @ian's positions I guess not?)
@bohaska I'm not sure - from what I could tell from Japan travel markets, Austin, Rachel, Ian, Sinclair... maybe others? I know you tend to keep up with Notion (and I don't) so I guess this would have been apparent by now if it counted.
@shankypanky I think that Manifold didn't organize an official offsite, but they did end up travelling together.
Do you think I should resolve it as no offsite, or as Japan/Tokyo?
@bohaska as a person who stands to profit a little off a Japan yes I'm not impartial enough to say that. But this was my line of thought when I bet fwiw:
The description is ambiguous about what qualifies as an offsite, as is the attached Notion (which is all about locations and nothing about qualifications for an offsite purpose, other than traveling somewhere together?) Between the fact that a few of them were in Japan at the same time and the Notion was favouring Japan as a destination, I just assumed. Four core team members traveling somewhere at the same time seems out of the ordinary.
oh, nvm Feb is allowed