
If I run my trades past Claude 3.5 before I bet will my all time profit hit 0 before the end of the month?
5
100Ṁ1164resolved Aug 1
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Inspired by this comment: https://manifold.markets/jack/who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964#qcpbsmw1yip
My all time profit on manifold is currently -641Ṁ, If I start asking Claude 3.5 sonnet about it's opinion and confidence level on markets before I bet, and I take it's responses into account, will my profit hit 0?
resolves YES if my all time profit is zero or positive at any point in the month of July, resolves NO if at the end of July my all time profit has been negative the whole time. Will resolve N/A if I decide I actually don't want to keep doing that (I think that is very unlikely).
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