ChatGPT simulates a fantasy war - The Republic VS The Union
21
198
430
resolved May 21
Resolved
YES

I have given ChatGPT this instruction -

"Could you invent a theoretical world with 2 great powers, and simulate a war between them. Simulate month by month every time I tell you. After 30 months, declare a victor based on the victories and losses both sides have had."

It gave this response -

"In a fictional world, two great powers, the Republic and the Union, have been rivals for decades. After years of diplomatic tension, a full-scale war has erupted between them. The Republic has a strong military and advanced technology, while the Union has a larger population and greater resources."

Every day I will add an additional month to the discription.

Hint - ChatGPT decided on a winner before 30 months, but after 15.

Resolves YES if The Republic wins

Resolves NO if The Union wins

I will not bet on this market, because I already know the ending.

Month 1: The Republic launches a surprise attack on the Union's northern border, capturing several key towns and establishing a strong foothold.

Month 2: The Union retaliates with a massive naval assault on the Republic's southern coast, sinking several key warships and establishing a naval blockade.

Month 3: The Republic launches a counter-offensive, using its advanced fighter jets and drones to strike key military and economic targets in the Union, weakening their defenses.

Month 4: The Union responds with a major ground assault, focusing on capturing the Republic's major cities and crippling their infrastructure.

Month 5: The Republic launches a major cyber attack, disrupting the Union's communications and logistics, and causing chaos in their supply chains.

Month 6: The Union responds with a massive air campaign, using its advanced bomber planes to strike key Republic military and economic targets, weakening their economy.

Month 7: The Republic launches a second ground offensive, focusing on recapturing its lost territory and establishing a buffer zone along its northern border.

Month 8: The Union retaliates with a major cyber attack, hacking into the Republic's defense systems and causing chaos in their military operations.

Month 9: The Republic responds with a massive artillery barrage, targeting key Union military installations and weakening their ground forces.

Month 10: The Union launches a third ground offensive, using its overwhelming numerical advantage to overpower the Republic's defenses and capture several key cities.

Month 11: The Republic launches a counter-offensive, using its advanced tanks and artillery to push back the Union's ground forces and reclaim its lost territory.

Month 12: The Union responds with a major naval assault, using its submarines to sink several key Republic warships and weaken their naval capabilities.

Month 13: The Republic launches a fourth ground offensive, focusing on capturing key Union industrial centers and crippling their economy.

Month 14: The Union responds with a massive cyber attack, hacking into the Republic's banking systems and causing a major economic crisis.

Month 15: The Republic launches a fifth ground offensive, using its advanced drone technology to strike key Union targets and weaken their defenses.

Month 16: The Union retaliates with a major air campaign, using its advanced fighter jets to strike key Republic military and economic targets, further weakening their economy.

Month 17: The Republic responds with a massive cyber attack, targeting key Union infrastructure and disrupting their supply chains.

Month 18: The Union launches a sixth ground offensive, focusing on capturing the remaining Republic territory and ending the war.

Month 19: The Republic launches a counter-offensive, using its advanced tanks and artillery to push back the Union's ground forces and reclaim its lost territory.

Month 20: The Union responds with a massive cyber attack, hacking into the Republic's communication networks and causing chaos in their military operations.

Month 21: The Republic launches a final assault on the Union's capital, using its advanced technology to infiltrate the Union's defenses and weaken their military.

Month 22: The Union responds with a desperate defense of their capital, but their forces are weakened and disorganized, and they are unable to repel the Republic's attack.

Month 23: The Republic secures a decisive victory, and the Union surrenders, bringing an end to the war.

ChatGPTs verdict: "Based on the simulation, the Republic emerges as the victor of the hypothetical war."

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bought Ṁ300 of YES

this should resolve now, yeah?

@Stralor I am resolving the market when it closes, and will post ChatGPT's verdict. It is pretty obvious but those were the rules from the beginning.

predicted YES

@bingeworthy ah, it seemed to have already declared, and the description mentioned that it ended early. all good!

bought Ṁ20 of NO

Question, would you personally judge GPTs conclusion as sensible? E.g. will the events described seem to have an actual impact on the outcome?

@MpP Yes. However, there is a lot of back and forth during the war that does not feel quite like a 'narrative'.