Will the settlement price for CME NGF24 on 12/26/2023 be higher than 4.000 ?

Question

CME Daily settlements for each day are published by the CME at this website: https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/natural-gas/natural-gas.settlements.html . If the settlement for the day 12/26/2023 is greater than or equal to 4.000, then you receive 1 M (Manifold). If the settlement for that day is below 4.000, then you receive 0 M.

Henry Hub Natural Gas Futures Settlements - CME Group

Find information for Henry Hub Natural Gas Futures Settlements provided by CME Group. View Settlements

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Manifold Markets · Answer

Unlikely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 10% chance (4 traders, as of Mar 12, 2024).

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