Resolution Criteria
This market resolves to YES if the closing price of the 1-hour Bitcoin (BTC-USD) candle covering August 14, 2026, from 23:00 to 00:00 UTC (ending August 15, 2026, at 00:00 UTC) on Yahoo Finance is higher than $64,850.30.
This corresponds to:
7:00 PM–8:00 PM EDT on August 14 — U.S. Eastern Time
6:00 PM–7:00 PM CDT on August 14 — U.S. Central Time
5:00 PM–6:00 PM MDT on August 14 — U.S. Mountain Time
4:00 PM–5:00 PM PDT on August 14 — U.S. Pacific Time
This market resolves to NO if the candle’s closing price is lower than or equal to $64,850.30.
Trader Requirement
I reserve the right to resolve this market to N/A if there are 10 or fewer unique human traders as of Monday, August 10, 2026, at 00:00 UTC. If this condition holds, I may resolve it to N/A any time from the cutoff timing to Wednesday, August 12, 2026, at 00:00 UTC.
Source of Truth
The primary source of truth is the hourly candlestick data for BTC-USD on Yahoo Finance.
Reference Price
The reference price is $64,850.30, representing the Bitcoin price at the time this market was created.
Fallback Rule
If Yahoo Finance is unavailable, contains erroneous data, or fails to report the specified candle within 24 hours after the candle closes, the closing price for the corresponding hour on TradingView will be used instead.
The Coinbase BTC-USD feed will be preferred. If the Coinbase feed is unavailable, the Binance BTC-USDT feed will be used.
Background
In mid-August 2026, Bitcoin continues to trade in a macro-driven environment, with market participants closely monitoring economic data and expectations surrounding Federal Reserve monetary policy.
This market measures whether Bitcoin finishes above its price at the time of market creation by the end of August 14, 2026.
1,000@traders as specified in description, i fulfilled the criterion to resolve n/a and have done so in light of a very similar market with the same liquidity
@bigyahu fyi this is a misresolve, bordering on fraud cc @mods
edit: I couldn't reply below because you've now blocked me. I really don't care as my bet is tiny, so you can do as you please. I haven't seen other markets do this, but you had the biggest (actually the only) YES position here (at risk given the current price) and you also preserving the discretion to NA or not just a couple days before the deadline seems to me to give you an unfair advantage.
Anyway, blocking me is a pretty bad look as well, I wasn't offensive nor disruptive just expressing my opinion, and now I can't even defend my point. Cheers.
@deagol really? im sure ive seen larger markets doing this to preserve liquidity, + i added it in the description before anyone had positions