When will OpenAI release o1?
Basic
46
Ṁ2586
2026
84%
Before December 2024
95%
Before January 2025
98%
Before February 2025
Resolved
NO
Before October 2024
Resolved
NO
Before November 2024

Multiple options can resolve YES based on the date that OpenAI generally releases its o1 model (or whatever the Project Strawberry chain-of-thought model is called when released) that was originally released in preview as o1-preview.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

Why do people seem so sure it will come out this month?

@JaundicedBaboon There was a short time where you could access the o1 model by going to https://chatgpt.com/?model=o1 a couple weeks ago. Also this market has very little mana in it.

bought Ṁ25 Before December 2024 YES

@JaundicedBaboon Personally, I'm betting for ''before december" because I think o1 is ready and they're holding out on release because they want to release it on ChatGPT's second anniversary (Nov 30). Let's see if I'll be right about this.

@NeuralBets Personally I suspect they will time it to Gemini 2.0's release so I'm thinking early December. We'll see

bought Ṁ8 Before January 2025 NO
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules