Unlinked free response market.
An option will resolve YES if it registers a higher relative GoogleTrends value for the week containing March 1st, 2024 than for the week containing November 1st, 2023. Feel free to explore here: https://trends.google.com/trends
An option will resolve NO if it registers a lower relative GoogleTrends value...
If the option has the exact same value, as best as I can tell, it will resolve to 50%.
The terms will be searched EXACTLY as typed, so be careful when submitting. For the google trends settings, I will use Worldwide, "All Categories", and "Web Search", and will have the data on a time scale long enough that it visualizes by week, not by day/hour.
I will try to close this before the last week's values are finalized, to disincentivize toxic betting behavior such as refreshing the page at midnight to see the final value.
Try to keep the answers somewhat PG, I guess?
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ313 | |
| 2 | Ṁ156 | |
| 3 | Ṁ61 | |
| 4 | Ṁ55 | |
| 5 | Ṁ38 |
People are also trading
What will be trendy this SUMMER?!?!?!
https://manifold.markets/benshindel/which-things-will-be-trendy-this-su?r=YmVuc2hpbmRlbA
This has closed but will resolve after the google trends data comes out for next week! As stated in the market description, this market closed slightly early. I know this is unusual for Manifold but I’m trying to set a norm of closing markets a few days before resolution to discourage people from just waiting to bet on the events AFTER they’ve happened 😆
Both Madame Web and Argylle are coming out in February 2024 per https://movieweb.com/february-2024-movies-theaters-release-dates/
@Odoacre Worldwide, "All Categories", Web Search. As for the time, I'll use a time setting long enough that it presents the data by week (not by day or hour)