Will Ukraine hold a presidential election in 2024?
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I created a market for parliamentary elections:
https://manifold.markets/JanCzechowski/will-ukraine-hold-a-parliamentary-e?r=SmFuQ3plY2hvd3NraQ
@BenjaminIkuta Interestingly, it is considered very unlikely that the elections will take place as scheduled... Seems like either people expect something to change dramatically in the second half of 2024, or there's a lot of room for arbitrage :)
@BenjaminIkuta Hm, I googled and your friend seems to be right. I was operating under the assumption that the default case is for election to happen normally.
@42irrationalist Lmao, did my comment really just tank this market? Smh my head, prediction markets BTFO'd.
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