Will SPY be up today?
16
45
350
resolved Mar 14
Resolved
YES

Tuesday, March 14, 2023 (EDT), from normal market open to close, not after hours.

Mar 14, 7:31am: Will SPY be up or down today? → Will SPY be up today?

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bought Ṁ25 of NO

IIRC on average stocks are slightly down over the trading day (then up overnight), but this is a week bias and in general it should be close to 50/50.