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MANIFOLD
Where is Bence going on vacation Oct 7-19?
7
Ṁ240Ṁ1.7k
resolved Oct 7
Resolved
YES
somewhere on Earth
Resolved
YES
Asia
Resolved
YES
Korea
Resolved
NO
Australia / New Zealand
Resolved
NO
Mexico
Resolved
NO
Tokyo
Resolved
NO
Japan
Resolved
NO
Russia
Resolved
NO
Thailand
Resolved
NO
South America
Resolved
NO
Europe
Resolved
NO
Los Angeles

I'm being mysterious about my vacation for no reason. Friends get to guess the destination here; feel free to add any city/country/continent and if I will resolve YES anywhere that I will sleep for at least a night. Since I'm sharing my location with 130 people this market closes on the first day of vacation.

If you’re one of the few people I told directly, please don’t trade on this market.

You can see my full travel history here: https://nomadlist.com/@underyx

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reposted

trip starts today! reposting cause there's plenty of arbitrage opportunity

adding place names people mentioned in conversation to me recently (that they didn't actually join the market to bet)

I’m planning to spend under $2,000 on flights and accommodation btw

Total cost was $1,646.

If you don’t wanna pay the fees for adding an answer just comment here and I’ll add up to three per requester.

@Bayesian teach me your superforecaster ways

The oft-useful alpha of ‘market creator isn’t a marsian’

Screenshot of cities I've been to in the past year per nomadlist: