When will Lantern fulfill its first pre-order and ship BSC3-L1 to a customer?
ScienceBiotechLantern Bioworks
Basic
73
Ṁ9.1k
2025
22%
July 2024
38%
August 2024
24%
September - December 2024
18%
Not in 2024 or Never
Resolved
NO
May 2024
Resolved
NO
June 2024

Lantern opened for pre-orders on Tuesday April 9th. They say they'll ship in June.

https://www.luminaprobiotic.com/

Get Ṁ600 play money

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May 2024 and June 2024 have already resolved no, right?

Yup, just resolved them!

bought Ṁ10 Not in 2024 or Never NO

Is there a reason this market isn't a linked market? Is it possible for multiple options to resolve YES?

@Nat ah drat, good point. Do you know if there's any way to edit it? Not immediately seeing an option.

@beccapao Unfortunately not, the only way to make it a linked market is to resolve N/A and then create a new one which is probably not worth it given that you've already got 44 traders. It just means that it'll be up to the traders to keep the total probability at ~100% rather than the market doing it naturally.

On the upside, being an unlinked market you're able to resolve answers NO when their time frame has passed instead of waiting until the thing has happened to resolve them all at once.

I thought the launch was May 9. Seems they edited the market where that was stated.

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