This question resolves based on my reactions to his behavior. If I am at all shocked by Donald Trump's behavior, actions or statements by the end of 2024, I will resolve this market as YES. If not, I will resolve this market as NO at the end of the year.

Examples of surprising behavior:

• Sincerely apologizing for anything

• Speaking for 30 minutes without rambling

• Speaking for 30 minutes without lying

• Dropping out of the 2024 election

• Not trying to cook up another election tampering scheme

• Admitting that his weird running mate is probably more qualified to be president than he is

• Publicly telling his children that he loves them (except Ivanka)

I will not be placing any bets on this market.