Will the final poll of the 2024 presidential election cycle released by Des Moines Register/Mediacom that shows Vice President Harris leading former President Trump 47% to 44% accurately predict the results of the Iowa general election within 2%.

https://eu.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2024/11/02/iowa-poll-kamala-harris-leads-donald-trump-2024-presidential-race/75354033007/

Resolves YES if Harris gets between 49% and 45% of the vote and Trump gets between 46% and 42% of the vote in Iowa. This market closes on Nov 5th and resolves Nov 12th based on CNN published Iowa election data.